Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) invites you to hear Mr Steve Killelea present the Institute for Economics & Peace’s (IEP) latest paper, The Great Fragmentation – The Rise of Middle Powers in a Fractured International Order. Produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP), The Great Fragmentation report provides a comprehensive, data-driven analysis of the structural transformation of the international system since the end of the Cold War, highlighting a fundamental broadening of global power characterised by the plateauing of superpower influence and the significant rise of middle power nations. This trend is only likely to continue in the coming decade. The report examines this shift amid a period of declining global peacefulness and rising geopolitical risk, while multilateral institutions have weakened and trade restrictions and conflict pressures have increased. Within this context, the report explores how the growing influence of middle powers is reshaping trade, diplomacy, and global networks, creating both challenges and opportunities for stability and cooperation in an increasingly multipolar world. Speakers Steve Killelea AM, Chair of the Institute of Economics and Peace - IEP

Geopolitical rivalry among the United States, China, and Russia is fragmenting the international system and placing new pressures on states caught in between. For middle powers, today’s environment presents both risk and opportunity: how they choose to align, hedge, or engage can either deepen polarization or help stabilise contested regions and institutions. This debate explores why middle powers matter more than ever—and how their choices are shaping global politics. The discussion will examine how middle powers turn strategic autonomy into real-world influence. Participants will explore practical diplomatic tools such as bridge-building between rival blocs, coalition-building across regions, mediation in conflicts, and strengthening economic connectivity. Drawing on concrete examples, the event will unpack how middle powers convene actors, create trusted spaces for dialogue, and play a pivotal role in sustaining cooperation and multilateralism in an increasingly divided world. Speakers  Mr Steve Killelea, Founder and Executive Chairman, Institute for Economics and Peace Ambassador Thomas Greminger, Executive Director, Geneva Centre for Security Policy Ambassador Peter MacDougall, Permanent Representative of Canada to the United Nations Office at Geneva and the Conference on Disarmament (Moderator) Dr Christina Schori Liang, Head of Counterterrorism and PVE, Geneva Centre for Security Policy

The 2026 Peace Begins at Home – International Mega Meeting is designed to mobilise peace advocates, families, community and faith leaders, multicultural associations, Rotary leaders and members, civil society organisations, and global changemakers from Australia and around the world. The event brings together top Rotary International Leaders, District Governors, RI. Representatives to the United Nations and Commonwealth Nations, Club Presidents, Rotarians, Friends of Rotary, Peace Builders, Partners, Special Representatives, Presidents of Civil Society / Humanitarian Organizations, Community Leaders , Global Peace Ambassadors, Peace Justice Activist, Humanitarians, Change Makers, Social Workers, Peace Justice and Human Rights Advocates from over 85 countries around the world.The meeting reinforces a simple but powerful truth: sustainable global peace is built through daily actions, shared values, and strong relationships that begin at home. Why Peace Begins at Home MattersSustainable peace always starts locally. Many wider social and global conflicts are rooted in: Broken relationships. Intolerance and exclusion. Violence within homes and communities. Addressing these challenges at their source is essential to building long-term peace. The Peace Begins at Home – International Mega Meeting Seeks To: Shift peacebuilding from theory into everyday practice Empower individuals and families as the first agents of peace. Strengthen community cohesion across cultures, generations, and beliefs. Together, these efforts help build a lasting culture of peace — from the home to the world. Please note: This meeting is for everyone, from everywhere, and for every family. Speakers Steve Killelea AM, Chair of the Institute of Economics and Peace - IEP Mark Daniel Moloney, Past Rotary International President, Trustee Chair (2024-2025) - The Rotary Foundation  Melanie Morrison, Executive Director - Sydney Peace Foundation, Human Rights & Peace Advocate, An Award-winning Jounalist (Host & Convener) PP. Ozuem O.Esiri (AmbP), Peace Begins at Home - International Mega Meeting, The Rotary Mega Meeting 

Mr Steve KiIlelea will lead a roundtable discussion around the emerging powers and The Great Fragmentation paper by the Institute for Economics and Peace. Produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP), The Great Fragmentation - The rise of Middle Powers in a fractured international order, provides a comprehensive, data-driven analysis of the structural transformation of the international system since the end of the Cold War, highlighting a fundamental broadening of global power characterised by the plateauing of superpower influence and the significant rise of middle power nations. This trend is only likely to continue in the coming decade. The report examines this shift amid declining global peacefulness and rising geopolitical risk, while multilateral institutions have weakened and trade restrictions and conflict pressures have increased. Within this context, the report explores how the growing influence of middle powers is reshaping trade, diplomacy, and global networks, creating both challenges and opportunities for stability and cooperation in an increasingly multipolar world. Speakers  Lord Browne of Ladyton Steve Killelea AM, Chair of the Institute of Economics and Peace - IEP Sir Adam Thomson, former UK Ambassador to NATO Jane Kinninmont, Chair of UNA-UK Robert Ondrejcsak, Executive Director of the European Leadership Network (ELN) Stefan Gullgren, Ambassador of Sweden to the UK HE Antonio Patriota, Ambassador of Brazil to the UK Rob Fry, Charge d’Affaires, Canadian High Commission Bekki Field, Impact and Policy Director, ELN